GET Stock QuotesNews18 APP
News18 English
»
1-min read

India Likely to Clock 7.5 Percent Growth in FY19: Deutsche Bank

The Reserve Bank expects India's economic growth rate to strengthen to 7.4 per cent in the current fiscal, from 6.6 per cent in 2017-18, on account of revival in investment activity.

PTI

Updated:April 29, 2018, 10:37 AM IST
facebookTwittergoogleskypewhatsapp
India Likely to Clock 7.5 Percent Growth in FY19: Deutsche Bank
Representative image (Reuters)
Loading...
New Delhi: The Indian economy is witnessing a "cyclical upswing" and the country is likely clock a GDP growth of 7.5 per cent this financial year, says a Deutsche Bank research report.

"Our current growth forecast for 2018-19 is 7.5 per cent (RBI estimate is 7.4 per cent), which will mark an improvement from the 6.7 per cent likely outturn in 2017-18," the global financial services major said.

The Reserve Bank expects India's economic growth rate to strengthen to 7.4 per cent in the current fiscal, from 6.6 per cent in 2017-18, on account of revival in investment activity.

The report, however, noted that higher global oil prices, risk of an earlier than anticipated rate hike cycle from the RBI and the potential negative impact of the banking sector frauds on credit and overall growth are some of the factors that pose downside risk to its baseline GDP estimate.

Brent crude prices are currently hovering around USD 75 a barrel, which is up 12 per cent from end December 2017 levels.

According to the Deutsche Bank research report, a USD 10 increase in oil prices can shave off growth by about 10 bps while other factors pose about 15-20 bps additional downside risks.

Notwithstanding the fact that higher oil prices can potentially slow the pace of recovery, economic momentum will continue to improve "sequentially in 2018-19 and beyond", the report noted.

"Capacity utilisation has started to improve, which should incentivise private sector capex recovery with a lag, GST collections have picked up thanks to the implementation of e-way bill, NPA resolution is underway and the government is likely to remain focused on pushing infrastructure investment, which should bode well for the growth outlook going forward," the report added.
| Edited by: Ahona Sengupta
Read full article
Loading...
Next Story
Next Story

Also Watch

facebookTwittergoogleskypewhatsapp
Most Active
Company Price Change %Gain
Yes Bank 263.65 -55.55 -17.40
Reliance 1,228.25 +17.50 +1.45
Tata Steel 642.10 +20.90 +3.36
HDFC Bank 1,987.40 +26.05 +1.33
Vedanta 234.20 +4.10 +1.78
Company Price Change %Gain
Yes Bank 263.80 -54.70 -17.17
ONGC 178.80 +2.15 +1.22
Vedanta 234.25 +4.25 +1.85
Godrej Consumer 839.00 +15.30 +1.86
Tata Steel 642.00 +21.55 +3.47
Top Gainers
Company Price Change %Gain
Axis Bank 629.50 +20.70 +3.40
Tata Steel 641.80 +20.60 +3.32
ICICI Bank 329.85 +8.90 +2.77
BPCL 373.75 +8.70 +2.38
Asian Paints 1,319.00 +27.65 +2.14
Company Price Change %Gain
Tata Steel 642.30 +21.85 +3.52
Axis Bank 630.35 +21.15 +3.47
ICICI Bank 329.80 +8.95 +2.79
Asian Paints 1,319.05 +29.70 +2.30
ITC 305.30 +5.65 +1.89
Top Losers
Company Price Change %Gain
Yes Bank 263.60 -55.60 -17.42
Tech Mahindra 763.90 -6.05 -0.79
Infosys 717.25 -2.50 -0.35
HCL Tech 1,085.80 -1.50 -0.14
TCS 2,073.70 -4.20 -0.20
Company Price Change %Gain
Yes Bank 263.50 -55.00 -17.27
Infosys 717.00 -3.40 -0.47
TCS 2,073.90 -3.00 -0.14
HUL 1,647.65 -1.25 -0.08

Live TV

Loading...
Loading...