Take the pledge to vote

For a better tommorow#AajSawaroApnaKal
  • I agree to receive emails from News18

  • I promise to vote in this year's elections no matter what the odds are.
  • Please check above checkbox.

    SUBMIT

Thank you for
taking the pledge

Vote responsibly as each vote counts
and makes a diffrence

Disclaimer:

Issued in public interest by HDFC Life. HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited (Formerly HDFC Standard Life Insurance Company Limited) (“HDFC Life”). CIN: L65110MH2000PLC128245, IRDAI Reg. No. 101 . The name/letters "HDFC" in the name/logo of the company belongs to Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited ("HDFC Limited") and is used by HDFC Life under an agreement entered into with HDFC Limited. ARN EU/04/19/13618
LIVE TV DownloadNews18 App
News18 English
News18 » Business
2-min read

India's Economic Growth Seen Slipping in April-June, More Stimulus Expected

If the latest number for expansion of gross domestic product is 5.7% or less, the quarter had the slowest expansion in 21 quarters, since 5.3% in January-March 2014.

Reuters

Updated:August 29, 2019, 5:18 PM IST
facebookTwitterskypewhatsapp
India's Economic Growth Seen Slipping in April-June, More Stimulus Expected
A representative photo. (Courtesy: Moneycontrol.)
Loading...

New Delhi: India's economy likely expanded at its weakest pace in more than five years in April-June, a Reuters poll showed, as consumer demand and private investment weakened at a time global trade frictions have dampened business sentiment.

The median figure from the poll of economists is for annual growth in gross domestic product of 5.7% in the quarter, compared with 5.8% in the previous three months and 8% for the same period of 2018.

If the latest number for expansion of gross domestic product is 5.7% or less, the quarter had the slowest expansion in 21 quarters, since 5.3% in January-March 2014.

"Economic growth is collapsing," said Sunil Sinha, principal economist at India Ratings, the Indian arm of Fitch, noting that April-June likely was the fifth straight quarter of slowing since 8.1% in the first three months of 2018.

He said the slowdown has been driven by a fall in household savings and banks' increased bad loans, which has hit private investment.

"India's economic slowdown could continue for next 2-3 years as the economy faces serious structural issues of a slowdown in consumer demand and decline in manufacturing growth," Sinha said.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government is taking steps to try to attract investment to combat the slowdown.

On Wednesday, he approved 100% foreign investment in coal mining and eased rules for sectors including contract manufacturing and single-brand retail.

Finance Minister Nirmala Sithraman is likely to announce more measures soon to support sectors such as auto where July sales tumbled 31%, the biggest decline in nearly two decades and real estate.

Limited Space for Stimulus

But in spite of a windfall dividend to the government of nearly Rs 1.5 lakh crore from the central bank, the room for aggressive stimulus is limited due to slower growth in tax receipts, analysts say.

India could consider a "modest stimulus" for some sectors after the Reserve Bank of India's hefty dividend while following fiscal discipline, said a senior government official, who declined to be named.

During April-June, the government's capital spending fell 28% from a year earlier to Rs 63,000 Crore, partly due to restrictions on announcing new projects during the election campaign that took place in part of that period.

Industry chambers are lobbying for a cut in goods and services tax rate on passenger vehicles and cement to revive growth, warning that falling sales could force more job cuts.

The unemployment rate rose to 7.51% in July from 5.66% a year earlier, estimates the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy, a private think tank in Mumbai.

New Delhi is banking on continued support from the central bank, which this year has cut the benchmark repo rate by 110 basis points, while indicating it will further cut rates as inflation remains below its 4% medium term target of 4%.

The RBI's monetary policy committee (MPC) next meets Oct. 1-4.

However, analysts said one reason monetary stimulus will not be sufficient to revive growth is that debt-ridden banks are reluctant to pass on benefits, and largely using the space given by rate cuts to protect their loan margins.

"Band aid kind of solutions are not going to help the economy. We should be prepared for growing below our potential of near 8% growth for next two-three years," said Sinha of India Ratings.

Get the best of News18 delivered to your inbox - subscribe to News18 Daybreak. Follow News18.com on Twitter, Instagram, Facebook, Telegram, TikTok and on YouTube, and stay in the know with what's happening in the world around you – in real time.

Read full article
Loading...
Next Story
Next Story

Also Watch

facebookTwitterskypewhatsapp
Most Active
Company Price Change %Gain
HDFC 2,049.30 3.78
Maruti Suzuki 6,591.95 10.39
ICICI Bank 417.50 7.99
HDFC Bank 1,199.60 8.95
Reliance 1,254.35 6.39
Company Price Change %Gain
Astral Poly Tec 1,213.70 5.25
HDFC 2,052.10 3.92
SBI Life Insura 815.85 1.73
Zee Entertain 301.10 -2.49
Maruti Suzuki 6,585.25 10.89
Top Gainers
Company Price Change %Gain
Eicher Motors 17,860.20 13.38
Hero Motocorp 2,862.90 13.06
IndusInd Bank 1,419.60 10.71
UltraTechCement 4,269.65 10.43
Maruti Suzuki 6,591.95 10.39
Company Price Change %Gain
Hero Motocorp 2,866.50 13.19
Maruti Suzuki 6,585.25 10.89
IndusInd Bank 1,419.60 10.74
Bajaj Finance 3,705.60 10.19
SBI 301.70 10.09
Top Losers
Company Price Change %Gain
Power Grid Corp 196.20 -2.46
Zee Entertain 301.40 -2.41
Infosys 805.00 -1.91
TCS 2,065.45 -1.74
NTPC 119.85 -1.52
Company Price Change %Gain
Power Grid Corp 196.35 -2.39
Infosys 805.10 -1.94
TCS 2,065.60 -1.74
NTPC 119.90 -1.52

Live TV

Countdown To Elections Results
To Assembly Elections 2018 Results