Haryana Lok Sabha Election Results 2019: Deepender Singh Hooda is trailing again by a narrow margin, after wrestling the lead for a brief period. Leaving rivals Congress, Indian National Lok Dal, AAP-JJP alliance and the political clout of four prominent Haryana families in the dust, the Bharatiya Janata Party received a thumping mandate in the state on Thursday. By noon, the BJP had established massive, practically unassailable leads, in nine out ten Lok Sabha seats in the state and was on its way to upset the Hooda clan in Rohtak and Sonipat.
Dealing a blow to Deepender Hooda, BJP’s Arvind Kumar Sharma led against the three time Congress MP by a narrow margin. A win for Sharma would be considered a big upset in a seat which is stronghold for the Hooda clan. Similarly, in Sonipat, Ramesh Chander Kaushik led Deepender’s father former CM Bhupinder Hooda, by a margin of over 1,28,000 votes at the time of filing this report.
In Karnal, BJP leader Sanjay Bhatia, a Manohar Lal Khattar confidante and “Bunty Bhai” to his party workers and supporters, led his nearest rival, Congress’ Kuldip Sharma by an astonishing margin of almost 4 lakh votes before it was time to break for lunch.
In Bhiwani-Mahendragarh, where former Haryana CM Bansi Lal’s granddaughter Shruti Choudhry was fighting for her family legacy on a Congress ticket, BJP’s Dharambir Singh led comfortably by a margin of over 2,40,000 votes.
In all seats except Rohtak, BJP candidates led by a margin of at least 1,25,000 votes at the time of filing this report. Krishan Pal, Minister of State for Social Justice and Empowerment in Government of India, led Congress’ Avtar Singh Bhadana by over 2,38,000 votes at the time of filing this report. In Gurgaon, a mix of urban and rural electors, Rao Inderjit Singh led Captain Ajay Singh of Congress by over 2,37,000 votes at the time of filing this report.
In Hisar, which was touted to be a triangular contest between BJP, Congress and JJP, the saffron party’s Brijendra Singh, son of Union Minister Birender Singh, led incumbent MP Dushyant Chautala by over 2,40,000 votes at the time of filing this report.
All 10 constituencies of Haryana voted together on the sixth phase on May 12. Each of the constituencies comprises of 10 assembly seats each. The Aam Aadmi Party that allied with the Jananayak Janata Party (JJP) tried to rope Congress in a trio-alliance, in exchange for a partnership in Delhi, but that never happened.
Dharambir Singh from Bhiwani-Mahendragarh, Krishan Pal from Faridabad, Rao Inderjeet Singh from Gurgaon, Brijendra Singh from Hisar and Nayab Singh from Kurukshetra have also crossed margin of over two lakh votes. In three other constituencies - Ambala, Sirsa and Sonipat, the BJP candidates Rattan Lal Kataria, Sunita Duggal and Ramesh Chander Kaushik have crossed margins of over one lakh votes against their immediate opponents, respectively. Kataria, Dharambir, Pal and Rao are sitting MPs. Dharambir, Brijendra, Duggal, Kaushik and Nayab have already crossed the victory margins of 2014. Rahul Gandhi has campaigned in Bhiwani, Gurugram, Kurukshetra and Karnal apart from Sirsa.
Both Rahul Gandhi of Congress and Prime Minister Narendra Modi for BJP have campaigned in the state. Modi covered three regions - Sirsa, Kurukshetra and Rohtak. Gandhi went a step ahead to cover Bhiwani-Mahendragarh, Gurugram and Karnal, apart from Sirsa and Kurukshetra. While the former sought votes on armed forces and 1984 riots, the latter attacked Modi for ‘collecting money from poor and giving them to the rich’ apart from promoting NYAY scheme and decriminalising farm loans.
The Indian National Lok Dal, which is the main opposition in state Assembly, faces a crisis following a split. A bitter family feud led to the emergence of JJP that massively cut into the vote share of INLD. Jind by-poll earlier this year saw INLD reduced to fourth and JJP candidate Digvijay Chautala finished second in an impressive debut.
The deciding factor in Haryana will be the Jat vote. Which way the influential community swings, could decide Haryana’s mandate.
Here are ten key developments you need to know ahead of Haryana Lok Sabha election results:
1) Currently, seven of the 10 constituencies are held by the BJP, which is also the ruling party at the state. Two of the constituencies — Sirsa and Hisar — are with the INLD and one with Congress. In the last two previous elections — 2004 and 2009 — nine seats were held by Congress. In 2014, the voter turnout of the state was 71.45 per cent. The estimated turnout in 2019 was 68.17 per cent.
2) According to the latest available data, there are a total of 1,74,48,307 eligible voters in Haryana, of which 93,96,638 are male, 80,51,669 female and no voter from the Third Gender.
3) Faridabad has been the bellwether Lok Sabha seat from the state, i.e., the voters of the constituency always have been voting for the national winning party since 1977.
4) As per the report of Association for Democratic Reforms, 11 per cent of all the contesting candidates from Haryana have declared criminal cases against them. Thirty-nine percent of the contesting candidates are crorepati
5) Haryana Survey 2018 conducted by the ADR also shows that better employment opportunities (44.61%), agricultural loan availability (40.36%), and higher price realization for farm products (33.80%) are the top three voters’ priorities in overall Haryana; and that the performance of the government on the top three priorities have been below average.
6) The survey had also analysed the demands of the rural and the urban part of the state, which is 65 % rural, as per the Census 2011. In rural Haryana, top most voters’ priorities were agriculture loan availability (64%), higher price realization for farm products (54%) and availability of water for agriculture (49%). The top priorities for the urban voters were better employment opportunities (56%), traffic congestion (55%) and water and air pollution (50%).
7) As per the News18-IPSOS exit poll survey, the battle will be between the Congress and the BJP. Of the 10 constituencies, BJP is likely to win six to eight parliamentary seats, while Congress may win two to four.
8) The survey also indicate a possible rise of BJP leaders replacing or giving a tough fight to the stalwarts. If the exit poll survey is to be believed, the incumbent MP of Hisar and the grandson of former chief minister Om Prakash Chautala, Dushyant Chautala of the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD), may trail behind BJP’s Brijendra Singh. The same survey suggested a close fight between the three-term MP Deepender Singh Hooda of Congress and Dr Arvind Sharma of the BJP in Rohtak, the sole Congress seat. On the contrary, former chief minister, Bhupinder Singh Hooda of the Congress, may take away the Sonipat seat from BJP’s Ramesh Chander Kaushik.
9) The state that boiled in the aftermath of the conviction of Gurmeet Singh, the Dera Sacha Sauda chief, the influence of the thousands of Deras may continue to play a significant role
10) In 2016, the Manohar Lal Khattar government declared that all truck drivers with licenses made from other states would need to make new ones from Haryana, and to be eligible for the new licence, the applicants must have studied till at least class 10. The BJP government in the state also decided to go digital for issuing licenses of heavy motor vehicles and thus a class 10 passing certificate as address proof, along with the Aadhaar card, became compulsory. This left several truck drivers jobless. The results today may be an indicator of the policy move.