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Only 6730 More Votes Could Have Got BJP a Clear Majority in Karnataka

Even though the Congress got 6,38,621 (1.8%) more votes than the the BJP, the Grand Old Party would have needed a minimum of 1,25,608 votes to switch over to its side for the party to increase its tally from 78 to 113.

Soumyadip Choudhury | News18.com@soumyadip

Updated:May 18, 2018, 11:34 PM IST
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New Delhi: It was a hard-fought election in Karnataka and the battle is still on. While the BJP emerged as the single largest party, it is still nine short of the majority mark of 113 in the 224-member Assembly.

A closer look at the election results reveals that a mere 6,730 votes stood between the BJP and a clear majority in the Karnataka Vidhan Soudha.

The nine seats where the BJP lost with the narrowest margins also happen to be all against the Congress. This means that if some of the Congress votes had gone the BJP's way they could have theoretically upped their total to the magic number of 113.

The nine seats are Maski, Hirekerur, Kundgol, Yellapur, Badami, Gadag, Sringeri, Athani and Bellary Rural. The BJP lost these nine seats by a very narrow margin of less than 1.5% of the total votes polled. A quick calculation shows that the total minimum number of votes that could have tilted the scales in the BJP's favour in those nine seats is only 6,730 (see calculation below).

ABC
D(A-D)(B+D)
INC VotesBJP VotesMarginVote SwitchINC (Revised)BJP (Revised)
Maski60387601742131076028060281
Hirekerur72461719065552787218372184
Kundgol64871642376343186455364555
Yellapur662906480714837426554865549
Badami675996590316968496675066752
Gadag776997583118689357676476766
Sringeri627806079119899956178561786
Athani8209479763233111668092880929
Bellary Rural7918676507267913407784677847
TOTAL of vote switch from Congress to BJP6730


Even though the Congress got 6,38,621 (1.8%) more votes than the the BJP, the Grand Old Party would have needed a minimum of 1,25,608 votes to switch over to its side for the party to increase its tally from 78 to 113.



| Edited by: Ahona Sengupta
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